Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 4.288744 4.761001 5.265876 5.846206 6.495396 7.199859 8.023048
2026-02-01 3.453618 4.092177 4.823448 5.724711 6.808227 8.072151 9.663062
2026-02-08 2.891555 3.610365 4.480481 5.615446 7.062956 8.855468 11.256111
2026-02-15 2.512522 3.277108 4.246588 5.573071 7.351772 9.669757 12.944441
2026-02-22 2.287042 3.098645 4.170307 5.699518 7.842944 10.765944 15.097641
2026-03-01 2.055712 2.878801 4.004685 5.671495 8.100695 11.549173 16.881928
2026-03-08 1.823223 2.628518 3.764885 5.502949 8.125423 11.984346 18.184646
2026-03-15 1.661622 2.460700 3.621235 5.450857 8.302309 12.641717 19.869961
2026-03-22 1.570329 2.385815 3.603238 5.579168 8.756218 13.751062 22.367823
2026-03-29 1.490610 2.319594 3.589510 5.707802 9.215569 14.903131 25.047916
2026-04-05 1.396161 2.220978 3.514886 5.728457 9.495500 15.781348 27.348581
2026-04-12 1.294585 2.101705 3.395991 5.662790 9.619813 16.402213 29.253979
2026-04-19 1.194925 1.979527 3.265543 5.571287 9.700202 16.970674 31.160371
2026-04-26 1.104248 1.865224 3.139088 5.475373 9.763613 17.515246 33.086695
2026-05-03 1.022604 1.759694 3.018714 5.378518 9.814138 18.037744 35.025542
2026-05-10 0.958533 1.679594 2.935739 5.340840 9.968448 18.764725 37.444947
2026-05-17 0.924416 1.649929 2.939450 5.462756 10.435378 20.132893 41.322820
2026-05-24 0.871857 1.582445 2.868765 5.436392 10.608625 20.936072 44.104530
2026-05-31 0.805802 1.484938 2.734887 5.275449 10.496531 21.148544 45.629022
2026-06-07 0.759844 1.421854 2.660865 5.225712 10.604730 21.822104 48.244904
2026-06-14 0.738415 1.404142 2.672232 5.348387 11.082394 23.320809 52.913385
2026-06-21 0.718212 1.387222 2.683580 5.471348 11.571008 24.889600 57.934702
2026-06-28 0.687883 1.347957 2.647430 5.491093 11.835492 25.985597 61.950357